The Investment Idea Behind FIRE

Financial Independence,
Retire Early

Quit your job at 39. Or 30. Here's the math.

FIRE is built on a single idea: invest consistently in low-cost index funds, live below your means —
and eventually your money works harder than you do.

Three People Who Proved It Works

J.L. Collins laid out the math. Mr. Money Mustache lived it at 30. Our Rich Journey executed it on government salaries. The shared thread: all three put their money in low-cost, broad market index funds and left it there.

The Godfather of FI

J.L. Collins

Started a blog in 2011 to archive investing lessons for his daughter. His VTSAX + index fund philosophy became the investment backbone of the entire FIRE movement.

jlcollinsnh.com →
The OG

Mr. Money Mustache

Pete Adeney retired at 30 in 2005 — before Collins' book existed — by saving 50–75% of his income and investing in Vanguard index funds. His blog reached 23 million people.

mrmoneymustache.com →
Proof It Works

Our Rich Journey

Amon & Christina Browning were average-salary US government workers. In 8 years they hit a 70% savings rate, built a 25× portfolio, and retired at 39 — moving to Portugal.

ourrichjourney.com →
⚠️ One honest caveat: Collins points out that this strategy could eventually stop working — but only if basically every corporation in America closed down. To hedge against that risk, consider diversifying a portion of your wealth outside the stock market — such as land, real estate, precious metals, or digital assets.

Collins showed us how.
EthicalPie adds why it matters.

The math Collins laid out is real. But there's a question the strategy doesn't answer: what are you actually funding? EthicalPie takes his proven approach and adds a moral compass — so you can grow your wealth and feel good about where it's going.

📈
Collins' Method

Low-cost index funds. Stay the course. Let compounding do the work. Mathematically brilliant. The whole market, no filter.

+
🥧
EthicalPie

Same low-cost, long-term philosophy — filtered for companies that benefit humanity. Your money working for you and for others.

Performance with Purpose

You don't have to choose between building wealth and having a conscience.
EthicalPie gives you both.

Start Investing with EthicalPie →

100+ Years of Market Data

Collins opens with this chart. Wars, depressions, crashes — the Dow absorbed them all and kept climbing. Every catastrophe looks like a blip when you zoom out.

01 — The History

100+ Years of the Dow Jones

The Dow Jones Industrial Average 1900–2012. Wars, depressions, crashes — all absorbed. Every catastrophe becomes a blip at this scale.

1900 1929 1987 2000 2012 1929 1987 2000
💡

Collins asks: Can you find the 1987 Black Monday crash — a 22% single-day drop? It's there. But at this scale it barely shows. This long view is why he says: stay invested and let time do the work.

02 — Why It Always Rises

The Market Is Asymmetric By Design

Collins uses a bell curve to explain why the market trends upward. The math is simple — and surprisingly powerful. All ~3,700 stocks ranked by annual performance.

← Left Side — Worst Performers

Maximum loss: −100%

A bad stock falls to zero and exits the index. There's a hard floor on losses. The worst case is fixed.

−100%
Hard floor
Right Side — Best Performers →

No ceiling on gains

A great stock can return 100%, 1,000%, or 10,000%+. This asymmetry creates a permanent upward bias across the whole index.

+100%
Possible
+1,000%
Possible
+10,000%
Possible
🔄

Self-cleansing: Failing companies exit automatically. New ones enter. You always own the whole living market — without doing a thing.

03 — The Big Ugly Event

Every Crash Has Recovered. Every Single One.

Collins shows the same chart again in Chapter 9 — this time pointing at 1929. The only true catastrophe in 115 years of market history. And even that recovered.

Period Event Drop Recovery Note
1929–32 The Great Depression −90% ~26 yrs The Big Ugly. Happened once in 115 years.
1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market −48% ~7 yrs OPEC embargo + stagflation
1987 Black Monday −34% ~2 yrs Collins sold near the bottom — his most expensive lesson
2000–02 Dot-Com Bust −49% ~7 yrs Tech speculation collapsed
2007–09 Global Financial Crisis −57% ~5 yrs "Class 5 financial hurricane" — Collins stayed invested
2020 COVID-19 Crash −34% 5 months Fastest crash and fastest recovery ever
⚠️

The danger isn't the crash — it's selling during one. Collins sold in 1987 near the bottom, then had to buy back at higher prices. "I had managed to lock in my losses and pay a premium for a seat back at the table."

Three Rules. That's the Whole Thing.

This is what Collins distilled. What Mr. Money Mustache practiced. What Our Rich Journey executed over 8 years on government salaries. It's not complicated.

1

Spend Less Than You Earn

Eliminate debt. The bigger the gap between income and spending, the faster you reach financial independence.

2

Invest Consistently — With a Filter

Collins' answer was VTSAX: one fund, the entire US market, fees of 0.04%. Buy consistently and don't stop. The math is undeniable.

But what if you could do better?

The Ethical Pie Fund applies the same low-cost, buy-and-hold discipline — filtered for companies that genuinely benefit humanity. Same strategy. Better companies.

🥧 Explore the Ethical Pie Fund →
3

Don't Panic and Sell

When the market drops, do nothing. It has always recovered. Your only job is to stay in.

"Staying the course is always served with a side dish of panic. That's why ya gotta be tough."
— J.L. Collins, A Simple Path to Wealth

For educational purposes only · Not financial advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results

Charts inspired by A Simple Path to Wealth by J.L. Collins (2016) · Originally sourced from stockcharts.com

jlcollinsnh.com · mrmoneymustache.com · ourrichjourney.com